In recent years it appears the Big Ten appears to have fallen behind with the times. With an exception of this year, it wasn’t uncommon to see Big Ten football teams see their season conclude on the third week in November while other conference’s play would continue even until the first week of December.
That often worked as a disadvantage to the league’s teams (Michigan in 2006) as other schools (Florida in 2006) had two weeks to impress late in the year.
Part of the reason some of these conferences play so late is because of a conference championship game. We currently see three BCS leagues run title games. Arkansas and South Carolina joined the SEC in 1991, allowing two, six-team divisions, with the winner of each playing each other in the league finale. The Big 12 split their conference into two divisions when four Southwest Conference teams entered the fray in 1994. And when Boston College, Miami and Virginia Tech entered the ACC in 2005, the Atlantic Coast Conference did the same.
In 1990, the Big Ten adopted a very illustrious Independent in Penn State. But they (unknowingly at the time) made a potentially-large mistake by not bringing in another team to balance out the number.
Nearly 20 years have passed and no other team has entered the fray, so we are going to play “Big Ten Chairman” for the afternoon and find a 12th team.
The teams up for debate may or may not have any remote desire to join, but regardless, here is the criteria. A grade will be passed out for each criteria for each school.
Program Prestige- How prominent is the program for football purposes? While adding a good football program would be a plus for the conference, it might be harder to do than obtaining a weaker or up-and-coming program.
Proximity- How close or far are they from the rest of the schools?
Market- This, to an extent coincides with proximity, but at the same time it’s asking if the school is playing in a big market? Small market? Will the team be talked about on TV, radio, or in local print?
Natural Rivalry- All rivalries take time, but could Team X come into their first season with a natural rivalry they may have already had with a school?
Practicality- Does it really make sense for the school’s sake to leave their respective conference? Basketball caliber comes into play.
Cincinnati
Program Prestige- C+ Coming off of a conference title is always impressive and a current top 10 ranking is key. Grabbing them two years ago or last year would have made the most sense as this school gained notoriety quickly.
Proximity- A- In Southern Ohio, this ranks as the best school location-wise of the nominations. If the Bearcats entered the conference, they would be the southern-most school.
Market- A Cincinnati is a major market with multiple pro sports teams.
Natural Rivalry- B- If they continue to play how they are now, Ohio State, a school that has had problems fending off Michigan recruiters, might have their hands full in the recruiting process with Cincy. This could speed up an inter-Ohio rivalry.
Practicality- B Why not? It would be a plus for both the team and the conference. The basketball program isn’t what it was earlier in the decade. Though the overall style of Brian Kelly’s play isn’t Big Ten-esque, Rich Rodriguez took some heat for that two years ago, possibly relieving the coach of some criticism.
Louisville
Program Prestige- C Football is not the particularly the schools thing. The program has been around since 1912, and has won 51% of their games. They didn’t go to back-to-back bowl games until 1998-99, when John L. Smith turned the program around and Bobby Petrino wreaked the benefits.
Proximity- B Probably a little south for the conference’s liking, but in line longitude-wise.
Market- C The city of Louisville has been dying for a major sports franchise to open shop, but the closest thing they have is their basketball program, or the Reds’ AAA affiliate the Bats.
Natural Rivalry- C- Anything within the first ten years would seem forced. Something with Indiana or Purdue could eventually loom.
Practicality- C The university’s main sport is basketball. They are currently in arguably the nation’s toughest bball conference. Would they want to leave that? I don’t know, though the Big Ten does carry just carry just as much history, if not more than Big East basketball.
Missouri
Program Prestige- B- Missouri, like Cincinnati, didn’t really hit mainstream until the last few years. Football has been around since the 1800′s, yet it wasn’t until 2007-08 where they put back-to-back nine-win seasons. They have played in notoriously difficult conference, but have not had many exceptional seasons.
Proximity- B Like Louisville, not ideal, but at the same time, not terrible either. The Tigers would be an outlier to the west, as oppose to the outlier from the north as they are now in the Big 12.
Market- A St. Louis treats Missouri as their big-time college football team.
Natural Rivalry- A They have one with Illinois that has been on and off since 1966. But this is the best rivalry we would see of any potential incomer.
Practicality- B+ A seasonal contender in basketball, the second sport in the Big 12 would make a nice fit to the conference. As stated earlier, they are already not in the heart of their current league distance wise, have a rivalry, and a huge market.
Pitt
Program Prestige- B Pitt has carried some big-time football names like Dan Marino and Tony Dorsett. On multiple occasions, though not recently, they have been discussed as national contenders.
Proximity- C+ It would be the most far-East school, but it is only 135 miles away from State College, PA.
Market- A Pittsburgh carries multiple sports franchises and there is already a lot of coverage.
Natural Rivalry- C+ Penn State-Pitt could eventually make for a good rivalry.
Practicality- B- Pitt might not be opposed, but like others, basketball might entirely interfere with the move.
Rutgers
Program Prestige- C- Rutgers and football don’t really go hand-and-hand. Ray Rice lifted the program a bit in his years as a starter, and with an exception of a few seasons in the 70′s, there really hasn’t been a whole lot to talk about.
Proximity- D 240 miles away from Penn State would be tough.
Market- A+ Though it’s 240 miles from any other school, it’s only 13 miles from New York City, immediately adding to the school’s marketability. While many could say it could just be pushed to the back pages, NYC doesn’t have a college football team to cheer for, giving it a prominent conference like the Big Ten could change that.
Natural Rivalry- C+ It might be a stretch and who knows how long it would last, but Rutgers coach Greg Shaino turned down the Michigan job a few years back because he wanted to have his own dynasty in New Jersey.
Practicality- B While they aren’t the greatest of programs, and the basketball is far from competing, this might be a good time to go after the school. It would be an upgrade for the university. New York alone should give this some sort of thought to Big Ten buffs.
Syracuse
Program Prestige-
Proximity- D Similar distance away from Penn State as Rutgers.
Market- C It’s not bad, but like Louisville, the town doesn’t have a big pro franchise and isn’t as populated as some of the other cities nominated.
Natural Rivalry- B+ Though the rivalry has only taken place twice in the last 20 years, Penn State and Syracuse used to go head-to-head annually when they were both independents.
Practicality- C A bigger basketball school, they might not have the desire to switch to a conference with questionable location.
Those are my personal nominations. Some fit significantly better than others.
The divisions would be split between east and west. If Louisville or Missouri entered the league, they would join Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois and Northwestern. That would leave Indiana, Purdue, Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, Rutgers or Pitt joined, they would enter the east, while the Boilermakers would head to the western group.
Notre Dame will not be mentioned in this for the simple reason that in no way shape or form does it make sense for the Domers to leave the situation they already have. Call them what you like, but at the end of the day, college football is a business. And nobody does it better than the Irish.
Why would they want to split their TV revenue with 11 other teams? Why would they not want their nearly-automatic BCS bid pending three losses or less?
In all the categories it makes sense for Notre Dame to join the conference. All categories but the “balance” column in the Irish checkbook.